Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa98eea36073e4fc9098acff3d321fdb6ce8ebb3a869b8e84368abe26339e68b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atmaneof Atmane, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tiafoe | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atmane | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…b717backed Atmane | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Tiafoe | 69c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Tiafoe | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed Tiafoe | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6989backed Tiafoe | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…0e5cbacked Atmane | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…531bbacked Atmane | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…fd9fbacked Atmane | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Tiafoe | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Tiafoe | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tiafoe | 70c | 21.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked Tiafoe | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…f7f9backed Tiafoe | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Tiafoe | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e68ebacked Tiafoe | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…14e5backed Tiafoe | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…08d0backed Tiafoe | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Tiafoe | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…09bdbacked Tiafoe | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…dd55backed Tiafoe | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…58e2backed Tiafoe | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…7e11backed Tiafoe | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e21bbacked Tiafoe | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed Tiafoe | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…16c8backed Tiafoe | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…f860backed Tiafoe | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0ae8backed Tiafoe | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…3724backed Tiafoe | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Tiafoethis page
- Atmane vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Dallas Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances TiafoeTiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Atmane won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.