NHL · resolved market
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b31734d26e8fbcb39b18a9535bbb6fcc223f07069512de8dabe759b9100c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskof Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 41c | 366.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…82c6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 57c | 207$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…8521backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 43c | 205$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…1000backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 43c | 198$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c916backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 57c | 196$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…3d53backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 44c | 68.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…eb41backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…2b8dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…86c6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 58c | 39.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 59c | 24.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265a…a436backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf0…13c9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 59c | 18.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.