Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Korpatsch (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9cf9f4286446ada7bc62386214570bb8e8c5c686e3c2f81e86225f22c382cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korpatschof Korpatsch, Arango
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Arango | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Korpatsch | 42c | 269.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Korpatsch | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Arango | 62c | 84.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Korpatsch | 44c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Korpatsch | 38c | 48.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Arango | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Korpatsch | 42c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed Korpatsch | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arango | 54c | 36.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…89edbacked Korpatsch | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Arango | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Arango | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Arango | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Arango | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Arango | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Korpatsch | 53c | 22.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Arango | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Arango | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Korpatsch (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5)this page
- Korpatsch vs. Arango: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Korpatsch vs. Arango: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Korpatsch vs. Arango: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Korpatsch vs. Arango: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Ostrava Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Emiliana ArangoKorpatsch won
- Set 1 Winner: Korpatsch vs ArangoKorpatsch won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.