South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa48510ba6164ed3111ed4aaf0c2d3240b82f53f803948bca7998eb4f362f588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 3,337$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.18 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 31c | 1,802$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.75 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 20c | 1,479$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 1,269$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 1,121$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 8c | 999.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.52 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 30c | 814$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 19c | 424.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.6 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 32c | 376.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 16c | 347.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 19c | 143$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 43c | 131.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed Yes | 49c | 71.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked No | 16c | 65.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 37c | 61.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked No | 65c | 55.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 48.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 28c | 39.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 73c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 29.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 22.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 74c | 21.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA Platense end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.