CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa50741d7157cca5825b6501b88cb6d5d22adb9acef801e8e8e566fad7fa2945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed B8 | 36c | 1,036$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.28 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked B8 | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 45c | 780.52$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked B8 | 54c | 773.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.82 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Phantom | 46c | 488.28$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Phantom | 80c | 248.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.14 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Phantom | 45c | 222.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Phantom | 45c | 221.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed Phantom | 52c | 203.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Phantom | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…c6acbacked Phantom | 51c | 132.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Phantom | 65c | 127.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked B8 | 40c | 120.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 53c | 114.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Phantom | 45c | 111.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed B8 | 68c | 108.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Phantom | 60c | 95.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed B8 | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phantom | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 47c | 66.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Phantom | 49c | 59.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Phantom | 52c | 52.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed B8 | 34c | 49.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Phantom | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Phantom | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Phantom | 71c | 38.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Phantom | 64c | 34.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked B8 | 50c | 33.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Phantom | 51c | 32.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Phantom | 54c | 30.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Phantom | 52c | 20.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Phantom | 56c | 18.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.