CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7384733789fc4f19f6d2fa2fb2956a5dbb0b81d12c66727fbf3cac6fb4e0c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof Metizport, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Metizport | 9c | 8,671$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FORZE Reload | 79c | 5,043$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Metizport | 18c | 2,442$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Metizport | 12c | 1,716$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Metizport | 30c | 1,265$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked FORZE Reload | 57c | 1,161$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.47 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FORZE Reload | 76c | 696.59$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Metizport | 53c | 574.47$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…99d2backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 574$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Metizport | 54c | 573.53$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.64 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 531.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…c501backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 494$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Metizport | 22c | 450.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Metizport | 34c | 449.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…608dbacked FORZE Reload | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FORZE Reload | 76c | 411.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67a…f5debacked Metizport | 54c | 374$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Metizport | 36c | 344.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Metizport | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a491backed Metizport | 54c | 294$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…58bdbacked Metizport | 23c | 268.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…9e60backed Metizport | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…44cdbacked Metizport | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…f578backed Metizport | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…1781backed Metizport | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Metizport | 23c | 187.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Metizport | 47c | 150.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FORZE Reload | 54c | 129.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed Metizport | 12c | 128.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Metizport | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 103.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Metizport | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Metizport | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Metizport | 39c | 95.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FORZE Reload | 59c | 79.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 70.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Metizport | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked FORZE Reload | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked FORZE Reload | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…3d5fbacked FORZE Reload | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 48.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…520dbacked Metizport | 45c | 44.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 51c | 43.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…cc89backed Metizport | 44c | 43.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked FORZE Reload | 57c | 36.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Metizport | 65c | 35.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Metizport | 44c | 29.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed FORZE Reload | 55c | 29.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Metizport | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Metizport | 43c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked FORZE Reload | 79c | 23.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…a2cebacked FORZE Reload | 52c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…7495backed FORZE Reload | 59c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.