Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa772c81dc86effe7fc1fe80da390aa37c791532806d12689099922accbb0a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozarox Esportsof Ozarox Esports, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Dark Passage | 47c | 4,979$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Ozarox Esports | 53c | 4,102$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.26 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Dark Passage | 47c | 2,954$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.34 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 1,667$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.63 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Ozarox Esports | 52c | 1,559$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.32 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Dark Passage | 48c | 1,494$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ozarox Esports | 52c | 1,375$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.86 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 1,212$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.49 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dark Passage | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Dark Passage | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 573.36$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.48 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Ozarox Esports | 61c | 488.66$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ozarox Esports | 52c | 205.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Ozarox Esports | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Dark Passage | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 121.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ozarox Esports | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Dark Passage | 49c | 49.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Dark Passage | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dark Passage | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Dark Passage | 49c | 29.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Dark Passage | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Ozarox Esports | 56c | 25.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Dark Passage | 49c | 24.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonOzarox Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 WinnerOzarox Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 WinnerOzarox Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.