Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3043d0542d57ccea9e78122d2ad59fe1c0852c93e7441356ef4646da3010ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozarox Esportsof Dark Passage, Ozarox Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ozarox Esports | 62c | 1,884$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.35 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Ozarox Esports | 74c | 1,351$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.65 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Ozarox Esports | 77c | 1,121$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Dark Passage | 25c | 850.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Dark Passage | 39c | 780.17$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Dark Passage | 27c | 757.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Dark Passage | 35c | 658.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.69 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Ozarox Esports | 74c | 600$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Dark Passage | 29c | 598.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dark Passage | 27c | 533.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ozarox Esports | 72c | 458$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ozarox Esports | 71c | 328.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed Dark Passage | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dark Passage | 34c | 277.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…def4backed Dark Passage | 38c | 253.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Dark Passage | 33c | 247.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Dark Passage | 24c | 172.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Ozarox Esports | 49c | 157.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ozarox Esports | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Ozarox Esports | 79c | 132.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dark Passage | 20c | 120.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Ozarox Esports | 75c | 116.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Ozarox Esports | 66c | 107.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Dark Passage | 26c | 66.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dark Passage | 28c | 56.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked Ozarox Esports | 75c | 52.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ozarox Esports | 67c | 49.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Dark Passage | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ozarox Esports | 76c | 28.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ozarox Esports | 42c | 27.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dark Passage | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Ozarox Esports | 75c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)Ozarox Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonOzarox Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 WinnerOzarox Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.