Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs Nix Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdd6cfe6898d0ece6a02a1db5961c9164a54cba65985c1bb2440d2326eee285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miposhka Teamof Miposhka Team, Nix Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Miposhka Team | 40c | 862.47$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.88 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miposhka Team | 36c | 389.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.22 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Miposhka Team | 47c | 349.34$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nix Team | 63c | 309.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Miposhka Team | 37c | 302.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Nix Team | 60c | 270.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nix Team | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nix Team | 65c | 210.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Nix Team | 57c | 205.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Nix Team | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed Nix Team | 67c | 199.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…f672backed Miposhka Team | 62c | 170.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Nix Team | 31c | 109.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Miposhka Team | 40c | 108.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Nix Team | 59c | 104$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Miposhka Team | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Nix Team | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Nix Team | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e1babacked Nix Team | 64c | 77.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Miposhka Team | 69c | 71.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…fb20backed Miposhka Team | 23c | 65.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Miposhka Team | 31c | 62.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Nix Team | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Nix Team | 69c | 50.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Miposhka Team | 46c | 47.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…02d2backed Nix Team | 26c | 45.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Nix Team | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Miposhka Team | 48c | 39.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Nix Team | 49c | 34.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Miposhka Team | 74c | 33.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Miposhka Team | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88ef…9cc1backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Nix Team | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Miposhka Team | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nix Team | 50c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x52b9…5138backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Miposhka Team | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Nix Team | 63c | 15.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs Nix Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs Nix Team - Game 1 WinnerNix Team won
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs Nix Team - Game 2 WinnerMiposhka Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.