CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac081c554f9899b45d4142c5531b263cb9bf84fc686f2c20b351e055d0b42bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof Leo Team, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ASTRAL | 58c | 8,571$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.22 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Leo Team | 41c | 1,927$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.68 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Leo Team | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Leo Team | 43c | 1,326$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.25 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Leo Team | 41c | 807.67$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Leo Team | 38c | 797$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Leo Team | 41c | 591$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Leo Team | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Leo Team | 58c | 346$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 31c | 326.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Leo Team | 34c | 283.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Leo Team | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Leo Team | 12c | 92.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Leo Team | 35c | 83.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ASTRAL | 54c | 55.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…bcbdbacked Leo Team | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ASTRAL | 63c | 41.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed ASTRAL | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked ASTRAL | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ASTRAL | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ASTRAL | 68c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 PlayoffsASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.