Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac18f134f8b2ae93f05643c47fdff50e84fc121e1118d23672f95126a4d41c27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 52c | 37,336$19,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,815.52 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 47c | 25,378$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,995.57 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 49c | 2,292$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.23 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 50c | 1,317$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.21 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 49c | 1,223$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.41 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 49c | 1,221$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.51 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 1,172$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.51 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.86 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 49c | 669.43$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.02 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Over | 49c | 565.81$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 49c | 497.05$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0980…1306backed Over | 49c | 496.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 49c | 438.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 47c | 392.12$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 47c | 253.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d301backed Over | 49c | 249.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Over | 47c | 204.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 192.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 47c | 148.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Over | 49c | 130.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 49c | 26.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 48c | 25.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.