Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eecab0ba0500a1df5fb6750b21b28516734b781b74cd4694233910ae068479c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 35c | 8,907$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.13 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 65c | 3,020$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.21 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 1,953$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.78 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 67c | 1,607$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.08 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 64c | 1,533$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.9 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 35c | 1,124$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.53 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.85 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 35c | 700$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 64c | 637.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.67 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 66c | 503.17$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…cea5backed Over | 36c | 197.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 64c | 190.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 78c | 189.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Under | 63c | 121.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 35c | 86.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 34c | 51.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 63c | 45.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 64c | 34.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 71c | 33.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 399 | 60.4%241 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 75c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.