La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac3606b0db1a05f47e06b5f0ca07f0aaf66a492c94eb3ef0cc6998abe7709e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,595 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 443.58$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 15c | 251$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Yes | 55c | 219.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 69.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed No | 45c | 56.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed No | 45c | 56.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked No | 45c | 54.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked No | 45c | 51.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 44c | 43.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 38c | 39.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 60c | 27.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 56c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 53c | 24.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.