South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1d18d29c70083aab8a151154831d6a791cd1a52f86aa95413fe4ec0e3225e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Talleresof CA Talleres, CD Riestra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CD Riestra | 13c | 1,189$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed CA Talleres | 24c | 1,074$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.89 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed CD Riestra | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed CD Riestra | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CD Riestra | 60c | 163.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked CA Talleres | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CD Riestra | 75c | 68.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked CD Riestra | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Riestra | 65c | 53.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CA Talleres | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked CA Talleres | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed CA Talleres | 50c | 44.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed CA Talleres | 34c | 42.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed CA Talleres | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed CD Riestra | 76c | 41.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Riestra | 66c | 39.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed CD Riestra | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CD Riestra | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed CD Riestra | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CD Riestra | 77c | 32.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked CD Riestra | 77c | 32.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed CD Riestra | 77c | 32.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CA Talleres | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CD Riestra | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed CA Talleres | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)this page
- CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.