TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Devils, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Devils5c11,655$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae7…4602backed Stars61c3,105$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5173…7f78backed Devils51c2,849$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Devils35c2,708$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.4292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars60c1,844$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.191,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Devils40c1,772$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.7822842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Devils3c1,494$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8834845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils40c1,249$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.471,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars78c880$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1978350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars60c736.12$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.791,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Devils42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.772445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars60c499.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Devils38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac37…b425backed Stars60c391.67$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6e…5617backed Devils41c390.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Devils40c384.87$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Devils39c303.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Devils5c299.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3620…7bc0backed Stars61c273$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7023…f271backed Stars60c202$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils6c200.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars48c168.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.521,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea6…0d85backed Devils40c162.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.021833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars62c161.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.681,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed Stars60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9000…7ad1backed Stars60c142$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Devils39c139.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…8214backed Stars59c134$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Devils38c129.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.48440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Devils40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485250%26 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0735…da59backed Devils40c115.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.382227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb78d…d1e0backed Stars61c114$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Stars61c109.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.542458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…2f20backed Devils39c106$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b98…41b0backed Stars61c103.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.192661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Stars60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Stars62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars61c99.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x750c…b00abacked Stars61c99.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.622751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b62…ef31backed Devils41c92.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.772254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40b…9899backed Devils40c86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Stars62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Stars62c80.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4711051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc644…48a6backed Devils39c79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils18c78.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40c7…b888backed Devils39c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a35…4e10backed Stars61c75.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.362347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Devils25c70.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6313241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecb…89b1backed Devils39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a9…2177backed Devils40c65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Devils40c64.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7616437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71df…c916backed Devils39c61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7165…576dbacked Devils40c61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…b415backed Devils41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef5…6c38backed Devils39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb9…b523backed Stars61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9463…f393backed Devils38c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…a78fbacked Devils41c57.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.512458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x124b…c455backed Devils40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1934…3bf7backed Devils38c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Stars59c54.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92fe…5454backed Devils41c54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…212ebacked Devils39c53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5194…2c8ebacked Devils40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df3…7e6fbacked Devils40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d8…085ebacked Devils39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Devils39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8920942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7934…1148backed Devils39c50.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a8…c183backed Devils40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe825…6c4bbacked Devils41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9982…5e4dbacked Devils41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Stars61c47.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4c…06ecbacked Devils41c46.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb49…861abacked Devils50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Devils39c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9458346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars34c46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7033…163ebacked Stars60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4a…cb24backed Devils39c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db2…9e57backed Devils39c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f0…ba9fbacked Stars61c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e3…2f14backed Stars61c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbb…48dfbacked Devils39c43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x452f…6405backed Devils39c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…75d8backed Devils40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…dc6dbacked Devils38c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4f…fd17backed Devils39c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…dcbbbacked Devils39c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d9…0dfdbacked Devils38c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Stars61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9845954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Devils37c40.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.082646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…9eb6backed Stars61c40.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Stars62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3241954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8386…cff2backed Devils39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f1…2be3backed Stars61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Devils50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe814…47cabacked Devils38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9551…0f9cbacked Devils39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x034e…a6adbacked Devils39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.