Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstelveen: Francesca Pace vs Weronika Falkowska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada12cb1a141db18bb18ad93882dd2253f28ae2d4f3a81367abf8a6a9a10e8c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weronika Falkowskaof Francesca Pace, Weronika Falkowska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Weronika Falkowska | 47c | 2,228$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.06 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Francesca Pace | 66c | 1,564$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesca Pace | 54c | 1,151$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Weronika Falkowska | 35c | 898.68$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Francesca Pace | 54c | 458$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Francesca Pace | 47c | 238.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Weronika Falkowska | 37c | 234$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Weronika Falkowska | 35c | 208.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Francesca Pace | 50c | 192.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Weronika Falkowska | 50c | 171.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Francesca Pace | 48c | 109.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Weronika Falkowska | 42c | 58.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Weronika Falkowska | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Francesca Pace | 42c | 45.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Francesca Pace | 57c | 34.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Francesca Pace | 60c | 32.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Weronika Falkowska | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.