Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton vs. Rhode Island
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb74dcedb47dd16a0c564d1dcb9efc239a38b5c3bfcea847d7330c95f6c56ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daytonof Dayton, Rhode Island
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dayton | 51c | 757$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dayton | 62c | 425$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…49e3backed Dayton | 63c | 182$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…3ae6backed Rhode Island | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1689…a4f1backed Dayton | 63c | 157$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…e09abacked Dayton | 64c | 133$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…5d11backed Dayton | 52c | 117$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…bef3backed Rhode Island | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…44ebbacked Dayton | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…8ec3backed Rhode Island | 36c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…fdcdbacked Dayton | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed Rhode Island | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…9cd3backed Rhode Island | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…1461backed Dayton | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…a2a6backed Rhode Island | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…0276backed Dayton | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…9713backed Rhode Island | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…be4dbacked Dayton | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…6d21backed Dayton | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…d415backed Rhode Island | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1ca2backed Rhode Island | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…5921backed Dayton | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed Dayton | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3476…cdebbacked Dayton | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…e77abacked Rhode Island | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…eb85backed Rhode Island | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…ae2bbacked Rhode Island | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…2aeebacked Rhode Island | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…8689backed Rhode Island | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…04acbacked Rhode Island | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…24dbbacked Dayton | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…bf1dbacked Rhode Island | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…f8bebacked Rhode Island | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…19d9backed Rhode Island | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…0080backed Rhode Island | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…dbcabacked Rhode Island | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a93…c28bbacked Dayton | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…40d7backed Rhode Island | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…fb79backed Dayton | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…200fbacked Dayton | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0660…80c9backed Dayton | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…a765backed Dayton | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…8619backed Rhode Island | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c2…69ffbacked Dayton | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…db79backed Rhode Island | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…8a7ebacked Rhode Island | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…9580backed Dayton | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…9acabacked Rhode Island | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…3f65backed Dayton | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…b801backed Rhode Island | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…2fe6backed Rhode Island | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…0e75backed Dayton | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed Dayton | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f6…04e3backed Dayton | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…50f3backed Rhode Island | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1b…beb7backed Dayton | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…ad1dbacked Dayton | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…4ef6backed Rhode Island | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…666cbacked Rhode Island | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…73aabacked Rhode Island | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…3e8bbacked Dayton | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.