South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadbdfb7e7d41adfee8b70b4aadb0ec8b9211e31aa23f0a84817b934b0e8b8903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,014$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 781.45$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 72c | 641.32$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 627.77$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 38c | 252.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 113.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…222bbacked Over | 38c | 81.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…8c11backed Over | 38c | 71.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 47c | 63.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 46c | 62.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…afe8backed Under | 64c | 59.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 52.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…86f2backed Over | 38c | 46.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…31a0backed Under | 64c | 44.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…7dd4backed Over | 38c | 43.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…1039backed Under | 64c | 43.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 42.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…4839backed Under | 64c | 40.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…94b8backed Over | 38c | 38.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…6c0cbacked Over | 38c | 36.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…9f9fbacked Under | 64c | 35.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…2285backed Over | 38c | 34.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…5778backed Under | 64c | 34.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…e9d0backed Over | 38c | 31.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…aa8cbacked Under | 64c | 30.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 51c | 30.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf553…a85cbacked Over | 38c | 29.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1328…2b9dbacked Under | 64c | 28.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…74b3backed Under | 64c | 26.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…8e43backed Under | 64c | 25.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…8c5cbacked Under | 64c | 24.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…5695backed Under | 64c | 21.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Tucumán: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Tucumán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.