Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd14fc4257fb19b4f1cd8fbeafa2d89fae1dae7d9b893d825a3df24557df8ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Spandau, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe752…2200backed G2 NORD | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Eintracht Spandau | 71c | 2,388$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.65 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed G2 NORD | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 1,233$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.11 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed G2 NORD | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 136 | 32.4%44 W · 92 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed G2 NORD | 22c | 843.79$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Eintracht Spandau | 71c | 785.74$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed G2 NORD | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked G2 NORD | 31c | 599.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 538.73$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked G2 NORD | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed G2 NORD | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Eintracht Spandau | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed G2 NORD | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Eintracht Spandau | 50c | 439.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed G2 NORD | 42c | 437.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Eintracht Spandau | 76c | 432.61$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed G2 NORD | 40c | 418.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed G2 NORD | 40c | 405.61$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eintracht Spandau | 61c | 258.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 252.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed G2 NORD | 43c | 232.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 212.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Eintracht Spandau | 59c | 184.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed Eintracht Spandau | 60c | 179.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 NORD | 53c | 178.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked G2 NORD | 49c | 176.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed G2 NORD | 40c | 170.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked G2 NORD | 53c | 161.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked G2 NORD | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked G2 NORD | 20c | 146.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed G2 NORD | 43c | 144$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…e299backed G2 NORD | 19c | 141.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed G2 NORD | 45c | 137.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 NORD | 45c | 127.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…137dbacked G2 NORD | 62c | 113.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…2397backed G2 NORD | 49c | 109.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 107.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed G2 NORD | 14c | 100.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed G2 NORD | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed G2 NORD | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 NORD | 30c | 95.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Eintracht Spandau | 60c | 92.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed G2 NORD | 33c | 82.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Eintracht Spandau | 54c | 78.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…0d14backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 77.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 60c | 73.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…9588backed Eintracht Spandau | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 311 | 55.9%174 W · 137 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Eintracht Spandau | 49c | 61.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce52…dbffbacked G2 NORD | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…82b9backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 51.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eintracht Spandau | 40c | 51.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Eintracht Spandau | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…521bbacked G2 NORD | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Eintracht Spandau | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…f276backed G2 NORD | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…a96cbacked G2 NORD | 41c | 40.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 303 | 66.3%201 W · 102 L | +34.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…1823backed Eintracht Spandau | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed G2 NORD | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 37.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 35.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…ae5abacked G2 NORD | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed G2 NORD | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed G2 NORD | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed G2 NORD | 53c | 31.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 359 | 43.5%156 W · 203 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 29.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Eintracht Spandau | 59c | 25.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…6844backed Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed G2 NORD | 55c | 23.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 327 | 35.2%115 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…bb1fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 46c | 22.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…e7b8backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsG2 NORD won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.