Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open, Qualification: Tomas Barrios vs Pedro Boscardin Dias
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf02573c700ef42a93862393498baa8c4dc83d7e2be41049934a9d7d7b32172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barriosof Barrios, Dias
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Dias | 23c | 3,089$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barrios | 79c | 2,293$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Dias | 18c | 1,383$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Barrios | 72c | 1,215$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Dias | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…ce33backed Dias | 1c | 1,041$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Dias | 8c | 720.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Dias | 33c | 477.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…b0b3backed Dias | 19c | 259.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Dias | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Barrios | 75c | 181.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Barrios | 75c | 159.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Dias | 7c | 137.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Dias | 24c | 114.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dias | 15c | 111.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Barrios | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Barrios | 65c | 94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Dias | 28c | 90.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dias | 24c | 85.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Dias | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Barrios | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Dias | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Barrios | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Barrios | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Barrios | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Barrios | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Barrios | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Barrios | 70c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.