CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae00e8a07c5f8651329f87d97f94e7bc4a6585dd6dfb3f07f840f96e83f5c5a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof largadosypelados, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados | 60c | 13,358$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,039.69 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked BESTIA Academy | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked largadosypelados | 64c | 3,700$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.35 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA Academy | 38c | 2,205$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.28 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked BESTIA Academy | 34c | 1,505$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.3 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed BESTIA Academy | 38c | 649.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.48 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked largadosypelados | 67c | 497.8$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed largadosypelados | 60c | 423.7$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed BESTIA Academy | 36c | 320$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked BESTIA Academy | 35c | 310$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed largadosypelados | 61c | 295.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 295.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed BESTIA Academy | 40c | 292.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed largadosypelados | 64c | 290$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BESTIA Academy | 33c | 265.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA Academy | 32c | 264.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked BESTIA Academy | 55c | 202.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked largadosypelados | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked largadosypelados | 68c | 138.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed largadosypelados | 64c | 97.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed BESTIA Academy | 40c | 88.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed BESTIA Academy | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed BESTIA Academy | 35c | 53.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed BESTIA Academy | 35c | 46.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked largadosypelados | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked BESTIA Academy | 35c | 34.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked BESTIA Academy | 35c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed largadosypelados | 59c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.