CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae12dd327012f569314b36ac6d70c39877a5f909951242379c25442e1513d371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof 1WIN, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed 1WIN | 20c | 1,028$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 395 | 38.7%153 W · 242 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked 1WIN | 31c | 830.77$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 324.93$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 36c | 292.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed 1WIN | 38c | 288.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 207.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 43c | 207.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 457 | 45.1%206 W · 251 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 206.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed 1WIN | 9c | 193.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed 1WIN | 53c | 189.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 181.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 45c | 172.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 135.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 132.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 27c | 117.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked 1WIN | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 89.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d51…71a5backed 1WIN | 62c | 80.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 17c | 80.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked 1WIN | 40c | 78.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 69.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed 1WIN | 64c | 63.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked 1WIN | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…4f06backed 1WIN | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…b953backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1WIN | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 42.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…e58fbacked 1WIN | 52c | 34.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…1373backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 32.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked 1WIN | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked 1WIN | 42c | 27.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.