Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire Wildcats: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae28f6bb6f4ad05af71ec6e175bb7420aee6ec3432a643cf4f4ddeaeed605c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 54c | 8,128$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.89 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 47c | 5,109$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.51 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 3,010$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.92 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 47c | 1,501$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,023$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 794.11$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 55c | 663.22$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.77 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 57c | 437$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Under | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…cba8backed Under | 47c | 212.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 126.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 46c | 118.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 55c | 115.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 100.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 55c | 81.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 41.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 51c | 31.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 30.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Over | 55c | 29.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 56c | 29.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire Wildcats: O/U 142.5this page
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire WildcatsNew Hampshire Wildcats won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire Wildcats: O/U 143.5Under won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire Wildcats: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: New Hampshire Wildcats (-2.5)New Hampshire Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.