Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gdansk: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Beatrise Zeltina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3d49176ed68e37b4096076ac305f541160cacea8f63d79c5ead01124e34467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasiya Sobolievaof Anastasiya Sobolieva, Beatrise Zeltina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Beatrise Zeltina | 29c | 1,073$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Beatrise Zeltina | 2c | 650.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Beatrise Zeltina | 24c | 444.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 74c | 404$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Beatrise Zeltina | 30c | 400.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Beatrise Zeltina | 26c | 251$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 69c | 216.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Beatrise Zeltina | 26c | 153$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Beatrise Zeltina | 25c | 138.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 79c | 80.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Beatrise Zeltina | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 45.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 70c | 44.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 68c | 37.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Beatrise Zeltina | 30c | 32.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 69c | 21.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.