Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Austin Peay vs. West Georgia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae46a1906822e13f4183f6cac60cbe0789612bffc101115dc09108c99b33b4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Georgiaof Austin Peay, West Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70f5…53d2backed West Georgia | 37c | 219$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…e60abacked Austin Peay | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…f5febacked West Georgia | 37c | 139$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…1227backed Austin Peay | 63c | 114$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…7256backed Austin Peay | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…99a1backed Austin Peay | 63c | 91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…d6dabacked Austin Peay | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…4915backed Austin Peay | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…5f96backed West Georgia | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b9dbbacked West Georgia | 37c | 77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…5a76backed West Georgia | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dae…eed9backed West Georgia | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…0131backed West Georgia | 37c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…fe94backed West Georgia | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…79a2backed Austin Peay | 63c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…88b1backed Austin Peay | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b0…e874backed West Georgia | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…4c40backed West Georgia | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…0ea7backed West Georgia | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…9755backed West Georgia | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…cc79backed Austin Peay | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ca…ce32backed West Georgia | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…88ffbacked West Georgia | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked West Georgia | 33c | 38.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed Austin Peay | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…a476backed Austin Peay | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eec…30b5backed West Georgia | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…ac67backed Austin Peay | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…6674backed Austin Peay | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf905…b5b8backed Austin Peay | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9920backed West Georgia | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…abf5backed Austin Peay | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…b33ebacked Austin Peay | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +89%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…ab61backed Austin Peay | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…1a16backed Austin Peay | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…aeefbacked West Georgia | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…ce7fbacked Austin Peay | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…0c6bbacked West Georgia | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…9962backed West Georgia | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…b97cbacked Austin Peay | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…2676backed Austin Peay | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…f9a3backed West Georgia | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…083cbacked West Georgia | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c6…2616backed Austin Peay | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…2101backed Austin Peay | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…3043backed Austin Peay | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…0898backed West Georgia | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…8547backed Austin Peay | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…6e94backed Austin Peay | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…cc88backed Austin Peay | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…89e8backed Austin Peay | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.