South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae58edef696cd6d6c276348ad177ed8dbebcffc1d071d6d714dd2a6e02b59f7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,914 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 66c | 6,351$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.04 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 3,815$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.85 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 1,978$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,439$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.43 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 25c | 1,358$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.72 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,284$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 725.56$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 66c | 680$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 565.06$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 332.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 26c | 253.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 242$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 205.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…ac6cbacked Yes | 25c | 202.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 25c | 195.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 157.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 147.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 134.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…29dfbacked Yes | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 103.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 101.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 27c | 89.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 65c | 76.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 32c | 63.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…2300backed No | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes | 28c | 56.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 53.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 28c | 49.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 30c | 49.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…cb5dbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 35c | 37.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 34c | 34.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a0…3473backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 67c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.