South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31060f0180270eb2af8f5d82c917328d7e4e99e6e5f782e9bf9284569071ec8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,355 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 9,854$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 9,808$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 27c | 1,219$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.04 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 723.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 651.4$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 17c | 632.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 16c | 629.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 31c | 570$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 317.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 78c | 195.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…8a42backed Yes | 31c | 167.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 146.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 35c | 145.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 113.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 97.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 78c | 65.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 65c | 65.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 62.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 57.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 57.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 36c | 45.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 45.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 42.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 31c | 38.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 34c | 30.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 65c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.