Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Memphis Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9a138eda6e5957c4cc211210209191b11f378dffad38b592b3169db01649e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLV Runnin' Rebelsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 17c | 7,004$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +452.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 17c | 641.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Memphis Tigers | 9c | 584$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 315.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 73c | 273.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis Tigers | 39c | 139.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Memphis Tigers | 11c | 118.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Memphis Tigers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Memphis Tigers | 30c | 96.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Memphis Tigers | 80c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 59c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 60c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…689bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 72c | 17.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.