South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9fe5d7f492d650f13a6141ced90713f2b68d3b426529887a5c5ff5d56676fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 37c | 19,702$7,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,289.74 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 3,629$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.21 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 65c | 3,085$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…41afbacked Yes | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…b875backed No | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,357$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…8eecbacked Yes | 63c | 1,248$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…5a2ebacked No | 37c | 1,248$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…fb27backed No | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…936abacked Yes | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Yes | 63c | 500$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 36c | 498.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 61c | 493.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…34e7backed Yes | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 288.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 35c | 246.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 219.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 28c | 218.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 64c | 156.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 37c | 149.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 63c | 148$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d92…d51bbacked Yes | 63c | 43.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…3643backed Yes | 62c | 39.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 38c | 39.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…d0dfbacked Yes | 63c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-17?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.