Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb9b4cb8dab6b267b3d16f20f06e584ef4994ea369423b15a9633c697373206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 10,572$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.92 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 3,092$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.97 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 2,783$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.26 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 30c | 1,748$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.23 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 1,193$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.66 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 735$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 55c | 700$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 581.62$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 61c | 547.42$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 541.78$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 44c | 376.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 61c | 325.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 21c | 192.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 74c | 177.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 60c | 151$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 149.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 79c | 148.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Under | 74c | 135.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Under | 71c | 117.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 63c | 93.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 27c | 74.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 63c | 65.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 59c | 59.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 75c | 51.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 56c | 45.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 27.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 66c | 24.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 58c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85af…c5ffbacked Under | 56c | 19.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 63c | 17.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Rams Başakşehir FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
- Spread: FC Inter Turku (-2.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)FC Inter Turku won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)FC Inter Turku won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.