Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Putintseva (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf1c53bf2f5f03b9433030aa5bde15f66163ea105bc34d06fce2880466528a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Putintsevaof Pegula, Putintseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Pegula | 70c | 1,333$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.99 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Putintseva | 30c | 1,204$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.8 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Pegula | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Putintseva | 31c | 453.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Putintseva | 31c | 417.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.91 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…081abacked Pegula | 6c | 400.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Pegula | 68c | 294.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Putintseva | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Putintseva | 74c | 270.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pegula | 66c | 242.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pegula | 20c | 97.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Pegula | 56c | 71.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Pegula | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Putintseva | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Pegula | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Pegula | 69c | 49.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…2229backed Pegula | 45c | 38.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…617fbacked Putintseva | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Putintseva | 36c | 32.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Putintseva | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Pegula | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Putintseva (+1.5)this page
- Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia PutintsevaJessica Pegula won
- Pegula vs. Putintseva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Pegula vs. Putintseva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.