CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf3996df029eb6e19c5f80b6a9f804008e5f234da5b167767cef1048c657cfed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 5,957$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.68 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Honvéd | 44c | 4,411$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Honvéd | 50c | 1,075$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.22 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Honvéd | 46c | 766.79$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.37 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Honvéd | 50c | 650$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Honvéd | 46c | 628.91$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.63 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Honvéd | 48c | 575.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Honvéd | 50c | 518.48$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Honvéd | 44c | 501.15$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Honvéd | 43c | 331$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 290$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 254.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Honvéd | 52c | 229.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 219.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Honvéd | 55c | 217.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Honvéd | 47c | 176$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Honvéd | 49c | 153.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Honvéd | 40c | 123.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Honvéd | 49c | 118.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Honvéd | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 90.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Honvéd | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Honvéd | 42c | 63.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Honvéd | 45c | 62.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Honvéd | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…433cbacked Honvéd | 80c | 56.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Honvéd | 60c | 55.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Honvéd | 32c | 38.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 32.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Honvéd (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Aex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Honvéd - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.