Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5211d6faa7ef15479f8dc368cfd18eb6d43f9d10d6d86e2de0942daca3e6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Ahli Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Okhdood SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Al Okhdood SC | 41c | 1,251$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.62 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Al Okhdood SC | 5c | 821.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 72c | 777.5$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 60c | 366.28$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 65c | 293.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 60c | 129.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Al Okhdood SC | 44c | 113.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Okhdood SC | 35c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Al Okhdood SC | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 60c | 68.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Al Okhdood SC | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 63c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Al Ahli Saudi Club | 66c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.