Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf7056802831c56c5c59bc8d44966a682dc88c1f673f938559ea246b217dee86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SoloTeamof Stray Team, SoloTeam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4874…c59fbacked Stray Team | 23c | 1,500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked SoloTeam | 77c | 1,139$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Stray Team | 27c | 893.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked SoloTeam | 62c | 640.66$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Stray Team | 40c | 600$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Stray Team | 46c | 454.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed SoloTeam | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Stray Team | 17c | 353.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Stray Team | 57c | 322.15$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SoloTeam | 58c | 200.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked SoloTeam | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed SoloTeam | 69c | 145.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Stray Team | 41c | 144.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed SoloTeam | 80c | 143.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Stray Team | 48c | 114.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…9e5bbacked Stray Team | 24c | 104.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked SoloTeam | 75c | 93.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Stray Team | 43c | 90.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…551ebacked Stray Team | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Stray Team | 29c | 86.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Stray Team | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Stray Team | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed SoloTeam | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Stray Team | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked Stray Team | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Stray Team | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked SoloTeam | 51c | 47.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked SoloTeam | 61c | 45.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed SoloTeam | 79c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…f366backed SoloTeam | 68c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam - Game 1 WinnerSoloTeam won
- Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam - Game 2 WinnerStray Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.