CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: TYLOO vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafaf89d2f724c431b119f602b1dfcd15d4f5139d37aeebf373c39ddbfb292adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof TYLOO, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked TYLOO | 63c | 11,500$7,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,244.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Lynn Vision | 37c | 9,729$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.21 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lynn Vision | 39c | 4,746$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.3 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed TYLOO | 61c | 3,252$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.93 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 1,571$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.68 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed TYLOO | 9c | 522.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 492.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked TYLOO | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 280.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed TYLOO | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 240.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 210$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Lynn Vision | 37c | 205.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked TYLOO | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked TYLOO | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked TYLOO | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 146.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed TYLOO | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…aa57backed TYLOO | 75c | 92.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Lynn Vision | 42c | 80.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed TYLOO | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked TYLOO | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed TYLOO | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 35.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Lynn Vision | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.