Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcc752bf1f98362fff57b5a0df66399cac5cb24f25084e4ba89abe781b4581b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALTERNATE aTTaXof eSports Cologne, ALTERNATE aTTaX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 61c | 1,212$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.09 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed eSports Cologne | 2c | 950$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked eSports Cologne | 57c | 890.98$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.08 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked eSports Cologne | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 67c | 505.74$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked eSports Cologne | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed eSports Cologne | 54c | 296.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eSports Cologne | 27c | 196.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 78c | 163.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 31c | 155.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed eSports Cologne | 26c | 154.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed eSports Cologne | 74c | 147.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed eSports Cologne | 39c | 129.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked eSports Cologne | 40c | 126.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed eSports Cologne | 49c | 126.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed eSports Cologne | 63c | 106.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed eSports Cologne | 26c | 55.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 55c | 29.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 47c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 57c | 24.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 75c | 23.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed eSports Cologne | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageALTERNATE aTTaX won
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 2 WinnereSports Cologne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.