Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6958b9c00775ab9a6a53214d999baaf3d997a9b3f65804b8dcf622610b8c3d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALTERNATE aTTaXof eSports Cologne, ALTERNATE aTTaX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 64c | 2,299$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.65 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed eSports Cologne | 32c | 1,715$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.52 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed eSports Cologne | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked eSports Cologne | 49c | 1,243$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.22 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 48c | 1,112$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.04 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked eSports Cologne | 32c | 893.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed eSports Cologne | 10c | 745.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed eSports Cologne | 32c | 726.89$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.34 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed eSports Cologne | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed eSports Cologne | 18c | 388.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 54c | 362.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed eSports Cologne | 64c | 307.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed eSports Cologne | 40c | 297.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 74c | 295.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked eSports Cologne | 26c | 292.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 76c | 291.7$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed eSports Cologne | 24c | 238.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 70c | 230.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 67c | 213.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 47c | 204.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed eSports Cologne | 40c | 203.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 67c | 193.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked eSports Cologne | 31c | 158.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 65c | 142.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 57c | 140.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 66c | 132.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed eSports Cologne | 49c | 120.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked eSports Cologne | 37c | 119.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed eSports Cologne | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 50c | 100.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked eSports Cologne | 13c | 97.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 68c | 97.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed eSports Cologne | 31c | 91.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…6611backed eSports Cologne | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 64c | 65.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 64c | 59.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 54c | 50.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 404 | 54.7%221 W · 183 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed eSports Cologne | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed eSports Cologne | 34c | 41.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 346 | 71.1%246 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed eSports Cologne | 30c | 33.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 67c | 31.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked eSports Cologne | 36c | 30.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ALTERNATE aTTaX | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX | 70c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 1 WinnerALTERNATE aTTaX won
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 2 WinnereSports Cologne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.