Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe8a8e937ec809f21d1695d5c6a4bf7f75510563ba4db3b5636c528078bd829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ksenia Zaytsevaof Ksenia Zaytseva, Zhibek Kulambayeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 70c | 850$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.22 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 34c | 831.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 4c | 575.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 57c | 441.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…c950backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 54c | 191.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 37c | 145.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 71c | 130.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 29c | 99.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 33c | 91.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 29c | 84.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 63c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 74c | 55.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 74c | 41.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 45c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 44c | 30.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.