NHL · resolved market
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. ERC Ingolstadt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0243074d27d4244346b80926932a8169042345b1dfa687a438667d4588f03db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koelner Haieof Koelner Haie, ERC Ingolstadt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Koelner Haie | 58c | 1,243$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.3 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ERC Ingolstadt | 42c | 1,103$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…e8cabacked Koelner Haie | 9c | 375$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Koelner Haie | 59c | 313.2$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…d428backed Koelner Haie | 9c | 303$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Koelner Haie | 59c | 239$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ERC Ingolstadt | 41c | 218$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ERC Ingolstadt | 41c | 199.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked ERC Ingolstadt | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Koelner Haie | 29c | 94.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed ERC Ingolstadt | 41c | 80.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed ERC Ingolstadt | 41c | 58.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Koelner Haie | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ERC Ingolstadt | 69c | 44.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…ea0bbacked Koelner Haie | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…cbe3backed ERC Ingolstadt | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed ERC Ingolstadt | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed ERC Ingolstadt | 73c | 19.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.