TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2307…3934backed DN SOOPers16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9954353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed DN SOOPers16c21,620$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.1438235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed DN SOOPers16c20,072$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.4425143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed DN SOOPers17c13,000$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2104231%13 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed DN SOOPers16c4,374$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.841,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked DN SOOPers17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5109129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed DN SOOPers17c2,364$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8849847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed DN SOOPers17c1,600$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2671,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed DN SOOPers16c1,120$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.21,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers16c779.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.82,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed DN SOOPers16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208342.2%35 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked DN SOOPers21c685.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1522142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed DN SOOPers17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed DN SOOPers13c499.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6575738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed DN SOOPers16c453.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5941343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2578…b2a6backed DN SOOPers17c291.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked DN SOOPers7c276$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.923831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked DN SOOPers16c210$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.648844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed DN SOOPers16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed DN SOOPers17c133.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.677753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Gen.G80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2596149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked DN SOOPers18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72b5…66e8backed DN SOOPers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked DN SOOPers18c113.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked DN SOOPers17c110.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4316853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed DN SOOPers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.