CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0511abb99cf5fe7442fbbb46d20cae3c2f5db1db2af11ee5ccddd5fec8dcf2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Wampirki, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Wampirki | 50c | 8,648$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.75 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW | 53c | 3,953$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 42c | 1,550$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed SAW | 59c | 668.04$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed SAW | 44c | 632.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SAW | 65c | 387$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW | 57c | 380.17$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed SAW | 44c | 324$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wampirki | 43c | 157.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed SAW | 78c | 151.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wampirki | 22c | 126.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked SAW | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked SAW | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed SAW | 42c | 92.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked SAW | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked SAW | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Wampirki | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 50c | 57.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed SAW | 44c | 49.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed SAW | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed SAW | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed SAW | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed SAW | 44c | 23.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed SAW | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SAW | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked SAW | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.