CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa256c5c4ff00dcbfbb1fee010757a0d45e1c7b8678e6cfda59b5bf2b65633ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Wampirki, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Wampirki | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW | 72c | 1,030$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SAW | 67c | 527$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Wampirki | 41c | 492.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.42 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wampirki | 24c | 466.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW | 63c | 380$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Wampirki | 30c | 339.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wampirki | 44c | 278.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SAW | 56c | 253.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed SAW | 64c | 231.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Wampirki | 10c | 209$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wampirki | 25c | 183.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SAW | 65c | 153.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW | 74c | 142$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wampirki | 39c | 115.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 67c | 82.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wampirki | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wampirki | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Wampirki | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SAW | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed SAW | 69c | 52.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SAW | 67c | 51.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Wampirki | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Wampirki | 35c | 47.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…dd13backed SAW | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Wampirki | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked SAW | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed SAW | 73c | 28.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed SAW | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked SAW | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.