Other European Leagues · resolved market
Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07de63eded76ab3e2758ca8e18bd011717c56181f23a7887ebac77156eeab51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 66c | 2,443$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 1,353$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 1,023$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 257.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 72c | 197.01$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 18c | 128.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 90.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 74.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 61c | 69.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 41c | 42.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 0.5Over won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 1.5Under won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 2.5Under won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5Under won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5Under won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 5.5Under won
- Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Odense BK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Odense BK (-1.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-1.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.