Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gyula: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Stefan Seifert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ba17d106e833c2cf13ad9d31b2a965605f67cc89d35d1305483675748a2a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Ryan Ziegannof Sam Ryan Ziegann, Stefan Seifert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Stefan Seifert | 3c | 20,920$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed Stefan Seifert | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Stefan Seifert | 2c | 12,150$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Stefan Seifert | 3c | 7,906$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +161%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Stefan Seifert | 3c | 5,800$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…d9d6backed Stefan Seifert | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Stefan Seifert | 49c | 4,693$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.84 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…01cebacked Stefan Seifert | 3c | 3,905$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Stefan Seifert | 3c | 3,606$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Stefan Seifert | 12c | 2,700$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…2ae3backed Stefan Seifert | 3c | 2,389$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Sam Ryan Ziegann | 50c | 1,881$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.45 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sam Ryan Ziegann | 52c | 1,814$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.08 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Stefan Seifert | 15c | 1,400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Stefan Seifert | 17c | 1,320$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sam Ryan Ziegann | 51c | 861.25$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Stefan Seifert | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sam Ryan Ziegann | 53c | 693.32$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Stefan Seifert | 16c | 440$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Seifert | 46c | 356.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Stefan Seifert | 47c | 340.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Seifert | 55c | 316.78$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Sam Ryan Ziegann | 51c | 260.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Stefan Seifert | 47c | 242.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sam Ryan Ziegann | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Sam Ryan Ziegann | 52c | 144.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Stefan Seifert | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Stefan Seifert | 72c | 56.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stefan Seifert | 20c | 55.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Sam Ryan Ziegann | 62c | 35.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Stefan Seifert | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 568 | 53.9%306 W · 262 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.