CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c5bd95cd0235ebe26efa26e15b2ba6a1e511028662833231dde2c054017c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JiJieHaoof FlyQuest, JiJieHao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FlyQuest | 14c | 1,087$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed FlyQuest | 69c | 629.5$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.9 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed FlyQuest | 8c | 486.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed JiJieHao | 41c | 385.45$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked FlyQuest | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed JiJieHao | 44c | 224.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…586bbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 219.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked JiJieHao | 76c | 169.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JiJieHao | 53c | 162.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FlyQuest | 58c | 116.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed FlyQuest | 70c | 80.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FlyQuest | 59c | 75.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked JiJieHao | 30c | 65.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed FlyQuest | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked JiJieHao | 52c | 56.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest | 51c | 32.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed JiJieHao | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed JiJieHao | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group AJiJieHao won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.