Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. North Florida Ospreys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb116502336ab8a0087e31dd078c6c2064c9bd442fe48f911a3ee462f3cfec2a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville Dolphinsof Jacksonville Dolphins, North Florida Ospreys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 921.94$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.87 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked North Florida Ospreys | 15c | 530.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 427.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Florida Ospreys | 45c | 397.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed North Florida Ospreys | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 375.31$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Florida Ospreys | 23c | 373.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 342.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Florida Ospreys | 45c | 324$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 78c | 136.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked North Florida Ospreys | 23c | 129.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Florida Ospreys | 28c | 119.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Florida Ospreys | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed North Florida Ospreys | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed North Florida Ospreys | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked North Florida Ospreys | 46c | 60.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed North Florida Ospreys | 46c | 51.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed North Florida Ospreys | 48c | 41.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. North Florida Ospreysthis page
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 149.5Under won
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-1.5)Jacksonville Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.