Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State Panthers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13811c85eb109bb2fa5a4a1cee9385d1a0a83701a886957fd08cad3a1f8dff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 59,322$30,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,910.94 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 49c | 16,643$8,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,155 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,775$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 959$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.32 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 419.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 47c | 410$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 35.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 28.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 147.5this page
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion Monarchs won
- Spread: Old Dominion Monarchs (-3.5)Old Dominion Monarchs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.