Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State Panthers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc2517fe85f766ca1c14f0e217625fca60ed32d31fa2363e9063669f8833c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominion Monarchsof Georgia State Panthers, Old Dominion Monarchs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 63c | 1,700$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 66c | 1,016$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.3 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 552.78$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia State Panthers | 26c | 435.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Georgia State Panthers | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 262.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 244$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 221.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia State Panthers | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 67c | 181.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 170.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 128.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia State Panthers | 36c | 115.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia State Panthers | 14c | 106.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 61c | 105.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Georgia State Panthers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 62c | 79.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 73c | 78.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Georgia State Panthers | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Georgia State Panthers | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 55.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Georgia State Panthers | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Georgia State Panthers | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers | 25c | 47.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 69c | 34.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 64c | 29.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 36c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 63c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Old Dominion Monarchsthis page
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Old Dominion Monarchs (-3.5)Old Dominion Monarchs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.