Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb14bcd1ccbd2494e996950f4e2074b974f81ec81d55e51bebafd008e34632788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omar Jasikaof Omar Jasika, Koki Matsuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Koki Matsuda | 17c | 861.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Omar Jasika | 64c | 776.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Koki Matsuda | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 593.68$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Koki Matsuda | 36c | 487.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 451.26$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Koki Matsuda | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Koki Matsuda | 34c | 321.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Koki Matsuda | 61c | 214.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Omar Jasika | 63c | 175.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Omar Jasika | 67c | 144.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Koki Matsuda | 37c | 133.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Koki Matsuda | 37c | 124.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Koki Matsuda | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Omar Jasika | 54c | 61.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Koki Matsuda | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Koki Matsuda | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Koki Matsuda | 52c | 49.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Koki Matsuda | 46c | 44.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Koki Matsuda | 37c | 32.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Koki Matsuda | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Omar Jasika | 68c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Omar Jasika | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.