Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Bondar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb15ee7b7bf3fca42a3f44776de547d1436d3d415cfe8c63e82b6ec1ab95b182c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Andreeva, Bondar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Andreeva | 30c | 674.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Bondar | 48c | 491.36$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.61 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andreeva | 56c | 469.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.51 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Bondar | 36c | 404.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Bondar | 58c | 328.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Bondar | 45c | 213.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Andreeva | 57c | 200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Bondar | 29c | 165.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Andreeva | 60c | 161.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Andreeva | 71c | 153.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreeva | 72c | 100.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Andreeva | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Bondar | 28c | 90.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Andreeva | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Andreeva | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Andreeva | 63c | 70.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 150 | 39.3%59 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Andreeva | 59c | 66.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…17d5backed Bondar | 37c | 64.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Bondar | 30c | 48.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Bondar | 43c | 39.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…0b3bbacked Andreeva | 62c | 37.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Bondar | 40c | 36.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed Andreeva | 60c | 30.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andreeva | 70c | 30.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Andreeva | 64c | 30.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Andreeva | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Andreeva | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Andreeva | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Andreeva | 60c | 19.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Andreeva | 63c | 18.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andreeva | 65c | 18.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Andreeva | 63c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Bondarthis page
- Andreeva vs. Bondar: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna BondarMirra Andreeva won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Anna Bondar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)Bondar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.